Analytics
Yes is at 3.9%, down 47 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 25 Feb 2026.
Across the 214 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 3.3% on 12 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.8%; a month before, 6.6%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 15% on 9 Jun 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “Which bills will become law in 2026?”.
$4.39K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.88K, with a 3.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 106 trades, $24.96 bought Yes and $683.36 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 243 shares; the largest No position is whispercatalyst with 220. Ten wallets hold 85.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 214 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 243.08 |
| whispercatalyst | No | 220.08 |
| macrosteaks | No | 167.67 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 1329 (119th) — “Smithsonian American Women’s History Museum Act.” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026
2 more markets, none above 3.3%.
| crossx | No | 84 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 68 |
| sweetj | No | 60 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 43.6 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 42 |
| pinner | Yes | 40 |
| V4grant | Yes | 33.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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