Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 42 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 25 Feb 2026.
Across the 219 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 30 May 2026 and the lowest 3% on 14 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15.3%; a month before, 13.2%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5.3% on 1 Oct 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “Which bills will become law in 2026?”.
$12 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.36K since listing. The order book holds $510.75, with a 5.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 61 trades, $93.04 bought Yes and $430.58 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 586 shares; the largest No position is macrosteaks with 166. Ten wallets hold 94.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 219 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 585.83 |
| macrosteaks | No | 165.98 |
| whispercatalyst | No | 120.16 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the S.Amdt. 2229 to S. 1582 — “Credit Card Competition Act of 2025.” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026
2 more markets, none above 3.4%.
| JoGold | No | 115 |
| Garmonbozia | No | 72.44 |
| banestow | No | 36.47 |
| Crimson Raven D375 | No | 33.19 |
| Coral Vector 08BD | No | 27 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 19.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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