Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | No | 4.6K | $0.776 | $4.07K | +$500.76 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.310 | $3.72 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.39K |
| $0.282 |
| $2.12K |
| +$1.16K |
 Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | No | 1.64K | $0.864 | $1.56K | +$141.48 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 575.61 | $0.914 | $554.89 | +$28.58 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 541.03 | $0.664 | $481.52 | +$122.43 |
 Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? | No | 434.78 | $0.707 | $391.31 | +$83.85 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 462.27 | $0.785 | $381.37 | +$18.45 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? | Yes | 5.55K | $0.203 | $360.8 | -$768.07 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the PA-06 House seat? | Yes | 300 | $0.950 | $283.95 | -$1.05 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-06 House seat? | No | 300 | $0.950 | $283.5 | -$1.5 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 279 | $0.457 | $277.19 | +$149.59 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat? | No | 210.45 | $0.867 | $196.77 | +$14.37 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat? | Yes | 210 | $0.850 | $196.35 | +$17.95 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? | Yes | 218 | $0.855 | $195.11 | +$8.79 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? | No | 216.8 | $0.713 | $188.62 | +$34.02 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat? | Yes | 200 | $0.890 | $187 | +$9 |
 Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | Yes | 210 | $0.840 | $183.75 | +$7.25 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat? | No | 200 | $0.880 | $183 | +$7 |
 Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat? | Yes | 202.88 | $0.822 | $170.42 | +$3.7 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | Yes | 451.24 | $0.435 | $169.22 | -$27.28 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | No | 232.97 | $0.779 | $167.74 | -$13.72 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | No | 442.99 | $0.435 | $166.12 | -$26.7 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 459.41 | $0.305 | $163.09 | +$23.09 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | Yes | 206 | $0.750 | $159.65 | +$5.15 |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | No | 230.6 | $0.391 | $157.96 | +$67.76 |
| sell |
| 44 |
| $0.300 |
| $13.2 |
| 2h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | 2h ago |
 Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?No | sell | 110 | $0.290 | $31.9 | 6h ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.41 | $0.340 | $18.5 | 16h ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?No | sell | 101 | $0.480 | $48.48 | 23h ago |
| Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?No | sell | 95 | $0.341 | $32.37 | 1d ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 63 | $0.172 | $10.84 | 1d ago |
| Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the top album for 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.008 | $0.38 | 1d ago |
| Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the top album for 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.041 | $2.05 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.074 | $0.74 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.074 | $0.74 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.073 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.29 | $0.068 | $1.38 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.43 | $0.070 | $1.08 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.065 | $1.04 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.064 | $1.28 | 1d ago |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50.84 | $0.816 | $41.5 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | sell | 50.1 | $0.022 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 76.84 | $0.049 | $3.8 | 2d ago |
 Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.840 | $201.52 | 2d ago |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?No | sell | 9 | $0.590 | $5.31 | 3d ago |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?No | sell | 11 | $0.580 | $6.38 | 3d ago |
| Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.360 | $27 | 4d ago |
 Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?No | sell | 75 | $0.830 | $62.25 | 5d ago |
| Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | 6d ago |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 54 | $0.933 | $50.38 | 6d ago |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | sell | 180 | $0.488 | $87.92 | 9d ago |
| Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?No | sell | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | 9d ago |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | 9d ago |
 Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | sell | 326 | $0.810 | $264.06 | 9d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the SC-07 House seat?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 30 | $0.570 | $17.1 | 11d ago |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | 11d ago |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No | sell | 8 | $0.470 | $3.76 | 12d ago |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 418 | $0.773 | $323.05 | 12d ago |
 Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.899 | $116.87 | 12d ago |
 Will Charles Melton – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.233 | $5.13 | 12d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?No | sell | 135 | $0.297 | $40.15 | 13d ago |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?No | sell | 59 | $0.820 | $48.38 | 13d ago |
 Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | 13d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 31.38 | $0.524 | $16.43 | 13d ago |
 Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.017 | $1.7 | 13d ago |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 13d ago |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.550 | $18.15 | 13d ago |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.550 | $18.7 | 13d ago |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.290 | $4.35 | 13d ago |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?No | buy | 102.49 | $0.283 | $29 | 13d ago |
 Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?No | buy | 68.45 | $0.874 | $59.84 | 13d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.110 | $2.06 | 13d ago |