Analytics
Yes is at 11.5%, down 14 points from 25% when the market opened on 18 Sep 2026.
Across the 38 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.5%; a month before, 21.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 38% on 10 Oct 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “Which bills will become law in 2026?”.
$790.29 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.27K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 35 trades, $15.66 bought Yes and $364.8 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 207 shares; the largest No position is Garmonbozia with 200.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 64 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 18 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | 25.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 11.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 207.06 |
| Garmonbozia | No | 200 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 76.4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that establishes a federal intellectual property right protecting individuals' voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized digital replicas is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes S. 4591 (119th), the NO FAKES Act of 2026; its House companion H.R. 8915 (119th); and the 2025 versions S. 1367 (119th) and H.R. 2794 (119th), the NO FAKES Act of 2025. Legislation establishing such a right as a provision of a broader bill will also qualify. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov's legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/4591), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026
2 more markets, none above 3.4%.
| macrosteaks |
| No |
| 62 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 50 |
| leectram2 | No | 27.08 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21.84 |
| bechamel | Yes | 15 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 7.16 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 6.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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