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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | No | 75 | $0.310 | $66.75 | +$43.5 |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 49.66 | $0.850 | $42.21 | 11h ago |
 |
| No |
| 75 |
| $0.720 |
| $64.13 |
| +$10.13 |
 Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? | No | 80 | $0.830 | $59.2 | -$7.2 |
 Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | Yes | 75 | $0.850 | $58.88 | -$4.88 |
 Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94.95 | $0.490 | $58.39 | +$11.87 |
 Will Chewy say "Mobile" during earnings call? | Yes | 75 | $0.550 | $58.13 | +$16.88 |
 Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election? | Yes | 75 | $0.770 | $57.38 | -$0.38 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 69.11 | $0.830 | $57.36 | $0 |
 Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 75 | $0.740 | $55.88 | +$0.38 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 85 | $0.595 | $54.83 | +$4.23 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 75.01 | $0.780 | $54.75 | -$3.75 |
 Will Ntombi Mekgwe be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? | No | 75 | $0.790 | $54.75 | -$4.5 |
 Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 75 | $0.730 | $52.88 | -$1.88 |
 Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 75 | $0.560 | $52.88 | +$10.88 |
| Will JD Vance say "Tax on Tips" or "Tax on Overtime" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 73.61 | $0.660 | $52.63 | +$4.05 |
 Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes? | No | 75 | $0.690 | $52.13 | +$0.38 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September? | No | 75 | $0.500 | $50.63 | +$13.13 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 97.87 | $0.602 | $50.4 | -$8.47 |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 65 | $0.720 | $50.38 | +$3.58 |
 Will Macy's say "China" during earnings call? | Yes | 75 | $0.780 | $49.88 | -$8.63 |
 Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? | No | 75 | $0.730 | $49.5 | -$5.25 |
 Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 80 | $0.630 | $48.4 | -$2 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 75 | $0.650 | $48.38 | -$0.38 |
 Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | No | 75 | $0.720 | $48.38 | -$5.63 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 in September? | No | 75 | $0.600 | $47.25 | +$2.25 |
| sell |
| 2.04 |
| $0.760 |
| $1.55 |
| 11h ago |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?No | sell | 75 | $0.760 | $57 | 11h ago |
 Will T1 Esports Academy win LCK CL 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.538 | $5.92 | 11h ago |
 Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 47.94 | $0.790 | $37.87 | 11h ago |
 Will Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.790 | $51.35 | 11h ago |
| Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 34.99 | $0.800 | $27.99 | 11h ago |
 Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.893 | $66.98 | 11h ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.07 | $0.860 | $29.3 | 11h ago |
 Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.899 | $5.41 | 11h ago |
 Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?No | sell | 65 | $0.710 | $46.15 | 20h ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 4.9 | $0.720 | $3.53 | 20h ago |
| Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 20h ago |
 Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes | sell | 2.39 | $0.670 | $1.6 | 20h ago |
 Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.760 | $57 | 20h ago |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | sell | 43 | $0.780 | $33.54 | 20h ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 75 | $0.791 | $59.33 | 20h ago |
 Will Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?No | sell | 7.9 | $0.837 | $6.61 | 20h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.810 | $25.11 | 20h ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes | sell | 13.09 | $0.830 | $10.86 | 20h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?Yes | sell | 21.54 | $0.599 | $12.9 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 65 | $0.760 | $49.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?No | sell | 31 | $0.780 | $24.18 | 1d ago |
 Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | sell | 4.58 | $0.956 | $4.38 | 1d ago |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August?No | sell | 4.09 | $0.850 | $3.48 | 1d ago |
| Will Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?No | sell | 20.1 | $0.838 | $16.84 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.830 | $33.2 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | sell | 75 | $0.864 | $64.8 | 1d ago |
 Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | sell | 26.41 | $0.840 | $22.18 | 1d ago |
 Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | 1d ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 75 | $0.751 | $56.33 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | sell | 70 | $0.820 | $57.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Fabiano Contarato win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?No | sell | 39 | $0.801 | $31.24 | 1d ago |
 Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | 1d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.960 | $72 | 1d ago |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | 1d ago |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?No | sell | 10 | $0.957 | $9.57 | 1d ago |
 StripChain FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.870 | $1.31 | 1d ago |
 Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 1 | $0.790 | $0.79 | 1d ago |
 Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.890 | $4.04 | 1d ago |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?No | sell | 30 | $0.729 | $21.87 | 1d ago |
 Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No | sell | 60.22 | $0.832 | $50.1 | 1d ago |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 13.26 | $0.800 | $10.61 | 1d ago |
 Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?No | sell | 58 | $0.820 | $47.56 | 1d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 10.15 | $0.940 | $9.54 | 1d ago |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.82 | $0.940 | $4.53 | 1d ago |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?No | sell | 8.26 | $0.804 | $6.64 | 1d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 52 | $0.830 | $43.16 | 1d ago |