Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tread FDV above $5M one day after launch | Yes | 60 | $0.887 | $58.56 | +$5.34 |
 Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.3K | $0.073 | $458.18 | May 11, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 80 |
| $0.770 |
| $53.2 |
| -$8.4 |
 Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election? | No | 60 | $0.790 | $53.1 | +$5.7 |
 Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 60 | $0.890 | $53.1 | -$0.3 |
 Will Ethereal launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 60 | $0.890 | $52.8 | -$0.6 |
 Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 60 | $0.875 | $51.6 | -$0.9 |
 Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? | No | 80.01 | $0.730 | $51.2 | -$7.2 |
 Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 60 | $0.870 | $45.3 | -$6.9 |
 Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 59.9 | $0.700 | $41.93 | -$0 |
 Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | No | 39.82 | $0.715 | $38.56 | +$10.11 |
 Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? | Yes | 40 | $0.926 | $37.56 | +$0.52 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat? | No | 40 | $0.920 | $36.86 | +$0.06 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026? | No | 37.26 | $0.677 | $36.65 | +$11.4 |
 Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.850 | $36.6 | +$2.6 |
 Will Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.875 | $36.2 | +$1.2 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 40 | $0.897 | $36.12 | +$0.22 |
 Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | No | 40 | $0.915 | $35.8 | -$0.8 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 40 | $0.835 | $35.8 | +$2.4 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election by 35%-40%? | No | 40 | $0.895 | $34.6 | -$1.2 |
 Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho? | No | 40 | $0.815 | $34.2 | +$1.6 |
 Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East? | No | 40 | $0.825 | $34.2 | +$1.2 |
 Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | No | 36.9 | $0.813 | $33.76 | +$3.77 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.830 | $33.4 | +$0.2 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 5%-10%? | No | 40 | $0.835 | $33 | -$0.4 |
 Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | No | 40 | $0.880 | $32.8 | -$2.4 |
| buy |
| 273.97 |
| $0.073 |
| $20 |
| May 11, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.85K | $0.073 | $500 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.958 | $3K | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.345 | $400 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.420 | $1.68K | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.265 | $265.35 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.636 | $635.8 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.394 | $394.32 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 778.62 | $0.185 | $144.01 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.07 | $0.690 | $53.87 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.375 | $150.03 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.600 | $1.29K | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.340 | $340 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.920 | $1.84K | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | buy | 13.58K | $0.958 | $13.01K | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes | buy | 13.59K | $0.951 | $12.93K | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.160 | $320 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.750 | $3.75K | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1K | $0.290 | $290 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.700 | $700 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.318 | $6.36 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.700 | $700 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.849 | $30.57 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.690 | $345 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.690 | $1.38K | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?Yes | buy | 14.38K | $0.038 | $541.78 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.760 | $342 | Nov 18, 2025 |