Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.15K | $0.774 | $7.38K | +$1.06K |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.5K |
| $0.781 |
| $1.84K |
| -$115.62 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | No | 1.62K | $0.720 | $1.44K | +$267.96 |
 Will Trump deport 300-400k people? | No | 1.11K | $0.672 | $924.62 | +$175.49 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.741 | $271.5 | +$49.1 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | Yes | 1.26K | $0.518 | $251.2 | -$399.68 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 240 | $0.234 | $232.2 | +$176.14 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.05K | $0.177 | $204.7 | -$158.8 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 1.74K | $0.267 | $170.23 | -$294.22 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | No | 202.99 | $0.748 | $159.35 | +$7.6 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? | No | 167 | $0.900 | $159.07 | +$8.82 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 160 | $0.021 | $151.6 | +$148.24 |
 Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Yes | 7.46K | $0.076 | $111.9 | -$457.68 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | No | 105 | $0.845 | $99.65 | +$10.9 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 463 | $0.129 | $85.66 | +$25.77 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | Yes | 656.85 | $0.234 | $85.39 | -$68.62 |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 60 | $0.724 | $56.22 | +$12.78 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 60 | $0.820 | $53.7 | +$4.5 |
 Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? | Yes | 125 | $0.716 | $50 | -$39.55 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 303.05 | $0.175 | $46.97 | -$6.17 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 315.2 | $0.276 | $45.7 | -$41.22 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 68.89 | $0.686 | $44.78 | -$2.5 |
 Another US debt downgrade before 2027? | Yes | 304 | $0.278 | $42.56 | -$42.05 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 20 | $0.580 | $18.1 | +$6.5 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 135 | $0.309 | $17.55 | -$24.15 |
| buy |
| 19 |
| $0.880 |
| $16.72 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 68.75 | $0.876 | $60.23 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.015 | $7.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump deport 300-400k people?No | buy | 100 | $0.835 | $83.48 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.061 | $7.32 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No | buy | 110.99 | $0.790 | $87.68 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.855 | $427.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.013 | $6.37 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 503 | $0.856 | $430.57 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?No | buy | 104 | $0.148 | $15.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?No | buy | 99 | $0.149 | $14.75 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?No | buy | 131 | $0.061 | $7.97 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 311 | $0.100 | $31.1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.120 | $9.6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.820 | $49.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.022 | $110 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.022 | $44 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.021 | $21.48 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.724 | $43.44 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.018 | $10.52 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.019 | $9.63 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.703 | $562.35 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 95 | $0.610 | $57.95 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 73.88 | $0.605 | $44.69 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.858 | $857.71 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.160 | $48 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.017 | $25.5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.138 | $13.67 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.169 | $8.79 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 397 | $0.166 | $66.08 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.108 | $21.58 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Another US debt downgrade before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.220 | $66 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | sell | 186 | $0.070 | $13.02 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.829 | $198.98 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Another US debt downgrade before 2027?Yes | buy | 194 | $0.278 | $54.01 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.100 | $160 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | buy | 380 | $0.080 | $30.4 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.741 | $222.4 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?No | buy | 274 | $0.240 | $65.76 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.096 | $47.96 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.100 | $9.5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 345 | $0.100 | $34.5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.240 | $60 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.460 | $690 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jun 1, 2026 |