Analytics
Single-Challenge has made $5.72K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 7.2K | $0.934 | $6.59K | -$140 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 01:11 UTC
Polymarket public position response
38 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 05:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 05:19 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-15 01:11 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $10.45K and losing ones cost $4.2K across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.13K on “US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $614.69 on “Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?” (No).
It has traded 152 markets. Its open positions are worth $44.25K across 38 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 8.87K |
| $0.546 |
| $4.77K |
| -$70.59 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 3.5K | $0.800 | $3.38K | +$584.5 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 3.35K | $0.873 | $3.1K | +$175.75 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 3K | $0.923 | $2.81K | +$35.02 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 3.01K | $0.888 | $2.57K | -$100.38 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.880 | $2.29K | +$87.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.440 | $2.08K | -$125 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2.5K | $0.490 | $1.64K | +$412.5 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.500 | $1.61K | +$362.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.500 | $1.61K | +$362.5 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.5K | $0.880 | $1.37K | +$52.49 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.430 | $1.33K | +$682.5 |
 Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31? | No | 1.24K | $0.902 | $1.1K | -$14.41 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 1.08K | $0.989 | $1.07K | -$0.54 |
 Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? | No | 884.73 | $0.948 | $877.65 | +$38.91 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 1.53K | $0.813 | $873.32 | -$371.87 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 929.58 | $0.729 | $725.08 | +$47.28 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 736.25 | $0.849 | $697.6 | +$72.62 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 999.98 | $0.690 | $609.99 | -$80 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.700 | $600 | -$100 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 385.74 | $0.870 | $378.8 | +$43.2 |
 Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 365.44 | $0.860 | $353.02 | +$38.9 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.490 | $322.5 | +$77.5 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | No | 281.34 | $0.950 | $275.71 | +$8.44 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
