Analytics
Yes is at 2.3%, down 6.2 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 29 Apr 2026.
Across the 177 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10.5% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.6%; a month before, 3.9%.
$42.67K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.87K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 443 trades, $582.54 bought Yes and $12.53K bought No; the largest was a $1.07K sell of No at 96.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Perypery with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is 57284910 with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 80.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 7:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 177 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 8.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 2.3% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met: - More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC. - An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC. - OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity. An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opec-dissolves-in-2026
| GTOrski1 |
| No |
| 340.38 |
| purebaby | Yes | 320.88 |
| Single-Challenge | No | 281.34 |
| Biver52 | Yes | 200 |
| Big-Jackal-Pepper | Yes | 181.82 |
| AJSV | Yes | 140 |
| Anjun | Yes | 119.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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