Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? | Yes | 100 | $0.050 | $45.55 | +$40.55 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?Yes | sell | 102.15 | $0.999 | $102.05 | 21d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 193.33 |
| $0.080 |
| $33.83 |
| +$18.37 |
 Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 397.91 | $0.038 | $31.63 | +$16.52 |
 Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 47.9 | $0.100 | $28.02 | +$23.23 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 397.91 | $0.045 | $27.46 | +$9.56 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? | Yes | 100 | $0.020 | $26.65 | +$24.65 |
 Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026? | Yes | 56.8 | $0.090 | $24.65 | +$19.54 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | Yes | 131.4 | $0.025 | $23.59 | +$20.3 |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 103.34 | $0.008 | $23.56 | +$22.76 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $21.5 | +$12.5 |
 Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.040 | $17.34 | +$14.94 |
 Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $16 | +$10 |
 Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $15.5 | +$5.5 |
 Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA? | Yes | 92.93 | $0.040 | $15.19 | +$11.48 |
 Will Trump deport 500-600k people? | Yes | 100 | $0.050 | $14.05 | +$9.05 |
 Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? | Yes | 78.93 | $0.080 | $13.81 | +$7.5 |
 Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.070 | $13.7 | -$0.3 |
| Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 82.25 | $0.003 | $13.57 | +$13.29 |
 Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.079 | $13.55 | +$5.65 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 192.23 | $0.025 | $13.46 | +$8.54 |
 Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.033 | $12.6 | +$9.3 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | Yes | 155.75 | $0.079 | $12.46 | +$0.23 |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $10B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 200 | $0.030 | $12.3 | +$6.3 |
 Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? | Yes | 69.31 | $0.048 | $12.2 | +$8.87 |
 Will Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen? | Yes | 100 | $0.020 | $11.6 | +$9.6 |
| sell |
| 108.28 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.46 |
| Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Yes | sell | 156.65 | $0.028 | $4.39 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes | sell | 226.18 | $0.246 | $55.61 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.047 | $4.7 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.050 | $0.79 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.042 | $4.2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.21 | $0.015 | $1.22 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.51 | $0.034 | $2.19 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.059 | $5.9 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.038 | $3.84 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AZ-03 House seat?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 31.54 | $0.041 | $1.29 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 84.39 | $0.090 | $7.6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the LA-01 House seat?No | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.99 | $0.047 | $3.29 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?No | buy | 65 | $0.026 | $1.69 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.068 | $6.8 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | sell | 119 | $0.026 | $3.09 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.026 | $0.49 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.87 | $0.079 | $1.17 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?No | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-34 House seat?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.025 | $2.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 58.26 | $0.090 | $5.24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IL-11 House seat?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-02 House seat?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.023 | $2.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $8.98 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.039 | $3.9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.036 | $3.58 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.85 | $0.070 | $0.9 | Jun 24, 2026 |