Analytics
Yes is at 12.5%, down 25 points from 37% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
Across the 255 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.5% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 20 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.6%; a month before, 7.7%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 34.5% on 2 Apr 2026.
$5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.73K since listing. The order book holds $472.22, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 250 trades, $745.36 bought Yes and $1.81K bought No.
The largest Yes position is rocky42017 with 433 shares; the largest No position is 0xdoqwkp12 with 2K. Ten wallets hold 71.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 16 Feb 2027, 111 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 255 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 37.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 12.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xdoqwkp12 | No | 1.98K |
| rocky42017 | Yes | 433.44 |
| ChixNStix | Yes | 327.45 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm. Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-canada-have-the-highest-unemployment-rate-since-2016-this-year
| Teeeeeeeth |
| Yes |
| 300.05 |
| HimuraKenshin | No | 299.92 |
| Solar Horizon 0A01 | Yes | 179.36 |
| Gaujmalietis | No | 176.97 |
| T1m3chaser | Yes | 168.03 |
| jaadeeess | Yes | 127.62 |
| polymath23 | No | 125 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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