Analytics
Yes is at 45.1%, down 3.8 points from 49% when the market opened on 6 Jan 2026.
Across the 271 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.8% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 19 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 41.5%; a month before, 41.5%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 44% on 1 Mar 2026.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.21K since listing. The order book holds $136.45, with a 74.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 66 trades, $103.07 bought Yes and $906.72 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 210 shares; the largest No position is Paeniscus. with 349. Ten wallets hold 87.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 271 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 49.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 45.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Paeniscus. | No | 349.36 |
| Nutty-Shopping | No | 288.4 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 209.79 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if BIP-360 is implemented on the Bitcoin network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-bip-360-implemented-in-2026
| planktonXD |
| Yes |
| 106.71 |
| BSS37 | Yes | 100.62 |
| zakzakzak | Yes | 63.03 |
| Biver52 | Yes | 56.8 |
| Vlad21 | Yes | 56.1 |
| kstc19 | No | 47.12 |
| Azure Comet 973E | Yes | 38.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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