Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? | No | 133 | $0.098 | $83.99 | +$70.92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.69 | $0.097 | $0.94 | Jun 18, 2026 |
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| No |
| 100 |
| $0.080 |
| $77.85 |
| +$69.85 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | Yes | 111.8 | $0.070 | $42.88 | +$35.05 |
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026? | Yes | 100.62 | $0.080 | $41.56 | +$33.51 |
Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs get engaged in 2026? | Yes | 99.98 | $0.040 | $34.94 | +$30.94 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 125.58 | $0.049 | $27.57 | +$21.41 |
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $27 | +$21 |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | Yes | 61.25 | $0.004 | $25.51 | +$25.27 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $21.5 | +$11.5 |
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 100 | $0.003 | $20.05 | +$19.75 |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | Yes | 107.61 | $0.003 | $19.32 | +$18.94 |
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? | Yes | 102.41 | $0.050 | $18.43 | +$13.31 |
Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | Yes | 73.37 | $0.060 | $16.88 | +$12.5 |
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? | Yes | 71.15 | $0.020 | $16.86 | +$15.44 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 100 | $0.040 | $16.1 | +$12.1 |
Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $16 | +$6 |
Ledger IPO before 2027? | Yes | 158.31 | $0.080 | $15.04 | +$2.37 |
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.070 | $14.7 | +$0.7 |
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 100 | $0.100 | $14.5 | +$4.5 |
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? | No | 99.45 | $0.050 | $13.92 | +$8.95 |
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 59.87 | $0.007 | $12.75 | +$12.33 |
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? | Yes | 73.28 | $0.074 | $12.46 | +$7 |
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 90.01 | $0.079 | $12.15 | +$5.04 |
Will Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen? | Yes | 100 | $0.020 | $11.6 | +$9.6 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 154.63 | $0.076 | $11.52 | -$0.23 |
| buy |
| 68.21 |
| $0.009 |
| $0.61 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 98.41 | $0.084 | $8.31 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 37.85 | $0.116 | $4.39 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.075 | $7.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.033 | $0.66 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.080 | $5.6 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.019 | $1.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.034 | $3.4 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 77.71 | $0.039 | $3.01 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Brian King be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes | sell | 86.27 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.019 | $1.9 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Garrett Mason win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 102.3 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Derrick Gallego be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.013 | $0.54 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.050 | $0.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.067 | $6.73 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 273.96 | $0.090 | $24.66 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.21 | $0.015 | $0.27 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.034 | $3.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $3.96 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.069 | $6.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.060 | $1.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |