Analytics
Yes is at 16%, down 23 points from 38.5% when the market opened on 28 Jan 2026.
Across the 257 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 6% on 9 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23.5%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 48.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$15.55 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $19.72K since listing. The order book holds $609.25, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 228 trades, $336.17 bought Yes and $7.51K bought No.
The largest Yes position is hrmy with 419 shares; the largest No position is MaxEnt with 296. Ten wallets hold 82.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 11:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 257 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | 38.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hrmy | Yes | 418.92 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 298.53 |
| MaxEnt | No | 295.95 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/unit-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| ChasingPaper |
| No |
| 269.37 |
| SuperTests | No | 112 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 106.57 |
| Biver52 | Yes | 100 |
| gryptogrypto | No | 100 |
| BSS37 | Yes | 84.16 |
| PBH | No | 64.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
