Latest trade
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:25 AM UTC.
Analytics
ChasingPaper has made $14.06K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:25 AM UTC.
$271.48 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 26 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Jul 20, 2026 UTC to Oct 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.21K | $0.452 | $5.49K | +$2.69K |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | $91.55 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 2.94K | $0.340 | $1K | 21d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-21 11:40 UTC
Polymarket public position response
43 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 06:25 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 06:25 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-21 11:40 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $23.87K and losing ones cost $12.13K across the latest 50 settled positions. 56% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $7.88K on “Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.26K on “Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?” (No).
It first traded on 27 Jun 2026 and most recently on 5 Oct 2026. It has traded 476 markets. Its open positions are worth $18.88K across 43 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 4.19K |
| $0.496 |
| $1.4K |
| -$676.17 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.33K | $0.867 | $1.29K | +$142.72 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 2.94K | $0.340 | $1.01K | +$14.71 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.180 | $750 | +$390 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 700 | $0.796 | $677.25 | +$120.25 |
 Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 549.56 | $0.943 | $525.38 | +$7.26 |
 Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | No | 564.54 | $0.852 | $525.3 | +$44.28 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 600 | $0.862 | $513 | -$4 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.478 | $502.5 | -$215.3 |
 Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 519.2 | $0.777 | $477.66 | +$74.23 |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | No | 522.57 | $0.803 | $466.66 | +$46.89 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.5K | $0.175 | $405.98 | -$205.13 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 2.45K | $0.225 | $403.91 | -$147.17 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 1.5K | $0.395 | $397.57 | -$195.07 |
 Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 701.29 | $0.604 | $375.19 | -$48.59 |
 StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 347.5 | $0.890 | $344.02 | +$34.72 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 327.22 | $0.875 | $322.8 | +$36.46 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 303.05 | $0.502 | $296.69 | +$144.5 |
 Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.510 | $276 | +$123 |
 Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 269.37 | $0.929 | $226.27 | -$24.06 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 249.92 | $0.513 | $221.18 | +$92.89 |
 Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 200 | $0.876 | $195.5 | +$20.3 |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 200 | $0.792 | $195.1 | +$36.6 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.168 | $194.8 | -$308.21 |
| sell |
| 435.9 |
| $0.968 |
| $421.98 |
| 21d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7K | $0.089 | $625.75 | 21d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.420 | $500 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 705.88 | $0.170 | $120 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 1K | $0.490 | $490 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 689.11 | $0.760 | $523.7 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?No | sell | 606.81 | $0.622 | $377.26 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 509.75 | $0.885 | $451.2 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 194.31 | $0.785 | $152.61 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 500 | $0.610 | $305 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 201.29 | $0.590 | $118.79 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 549.56 | $0.943 | $518.12 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 259.73 | $0.972 | $252.38 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 663.34 | $0.857 | $568.21 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.18K | $0.260 | $566.17 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.5 | $0.600 | $2.7 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 124.38 | $0.600 | $74.63 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.228 | $433.16 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.510 | $635.46 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.037 | $92.5 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.180 | $108 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.250 | $500 | Aug 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.290 | $145 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.151 | $290.58 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.260 | $200 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.260 | $200 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.430 | $500 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92K | $0.260 | $500 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 652.19 | $0.560 | $365.23 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 100 | $0.415 | $41.5 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 100 | $0.415 | $41.5 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.430 | $215 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.430 | $430 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.300 | $450 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | sell | 855.98 | $0.114 | $97.17 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.350 | $525 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.470 | $940 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.460 | $0.9 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 542.9 | $0.460 | $249.73 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 500 | $0.720 | $360 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.370 | $370 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.169 | $168.8 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.090 | $105.98 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.160 | $72 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 369.01 | $0.572 | $211.12 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.230 | $115 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.180 | $180 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.