Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 14 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 116 daily closes on record from 14 May 2026 to 7 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 7 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 0.3% on 7 Sep 2026. $1.38M traded over the market's life.
285 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 116 points, 14 May 2026 – 7 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 39.5% |
| 7 Sep 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Leostolany | Yes | 313.08K |
| sdiff123 | Yes | 56.04K |
| Railcool | Yes | 33.8K |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-afd-win-an-absolute-majority-of-seats-in-sachsen-anhalt
| yesworld28 | Yes | 24.68K |
| Bazooo | Yes | 7.26K |
| p0099 | Yes | 7K |
| donaldpumper | Yes | 6.6K |
| royalestake | Yes | 5.32K |
| elockt | Yes | 5K |
| GreenMark | Yes | 2.82K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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