Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 6K | $0.540 | $5.07K | +$1.83K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.440 | $220 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.5K |
| $0.868 |
| $972.75 |
| -$329.25 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.500 | $775 | -$1.73K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1K | $0.425 | $465 | +$40 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.8K | $0.191 | $377.99 | -$157.97 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.610 | $252.5 | -$52.5 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 1K | $0.130 | $65 | -$65 |
 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 12.1K | $0.002 | $36.3 | +$10.38 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 3.12K | $0.006 | $24.97 | +$6.24 |
| buy |
| 40.1 |
| $0.961 |
| $38.52 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Tesla say "Energy" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 88.32 | $0.998 | $88.14 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Tesla say "SpaceX" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBelgium | buy | 494 | $0.400 | $197.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.470 | $235 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Tesla say "Cybertruck" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 231.68 | $0.984 | $227.99 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Tesla say "Robotaxi" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.999 | $1.13K | Jan 28, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.014 | $20.83 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.529 | $529.3 | May 27, 2025 |
 Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 1K | $0.150 | $150 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 1K | $0.140 | $140 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | sell | 170.31 | $0.009 | $1.53 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 1.7K | $0.320 | $543.4 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.220 | $551.14 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 735.29 | $0.728 | $535.29 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 388.49 | $0.727 | $282.31 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.471 | $999.8 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.451 | $14.42 | Mar 2, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 1.88K | $0.570 | $1.07K | Mar 1, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 2K | $0.320 | $640 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 5.81K | $0.310 | $1.8K | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 448 | $0.410 | $183.68 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.309 | $308.64 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 420.04 | $0.959 | $402.82 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.260 | $338 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 765.81 | $0.310 | $237.2 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | sell | 3K | $0.050 | $149.92 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 725.13 | $0.848 | $614.77 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.529 | $602.44 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | buy | 298.17 | $0.910 | $271.33 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 424.74 | $0.910 | $386.51 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 4.08K | $0.005 | $20.42 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 512.13 | $0.989 | $506.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 377.42 | $0.884 | $333.74 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win South Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 430.54 | $0.989 | $425.8 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "Kamala" 30 or more times during the Joe Rogan podcast?No | buy | 499.28 | $0.700 | $349.5 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during New York rally on October 27?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.651 | $869.96 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump x Rogan interview last 150-180 min?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.460 | $603.93 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30K | $0.001 | $30 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 195.27 | $0.037 | $7.22 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 501.1 | $0.037 | $18.54 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 187.43 | $0.036 | $6.75 | Oct 12, 2024 |