Analytics
Yes is at 2.5%, down 4.5 points from 7% when the market opened on 24 Dec 2025.
Across the 286 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 20.5% on 19 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 8 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.4%; a month before, 2.8%. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 11.5% on 22 Jan 2026.
$1.99K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $35.86M since listing. The order book holds $153.26K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $224.65 bought Yes and $112.04K bought No; the largest was a $23.92K buy of No at 97.0¢.
The largest Yes position is GamblingRuinsLives with 511.5K shares; the largest No position is TraderSDG with 505K. Ten wallets hold 49.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 286 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 7.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GamblingRuinsLives | Yes | 511.54K |
| TraderSDG | No | 505K |
| trumpery | Yes | 316.67K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027
| Lxxxxx |
| Yes |
| 283.69K |
| OkinawaMoongazer | Yes | 280K |
| Macks22 | No | 205.03K |
| elmcap2 | No | 199.11K |
| AmericanImperialism | Yes | 194.28K |
| Substantial-Coupon | Yes | 141.09K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 140.42K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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