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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 11.12K | $0.696 | $8.84K | +$1.1K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 11.86 | $0.780 | $9.25 | 20d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 141.09K |
| $0.177 |
| $4.73K |
| -$20.27K |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 40.47K | $0.241 | $1.82K | -$7.92K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 12.05K | $0.410 | $1.63K | -$3.31K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 10.54K | $0.239 | $685.37 | -$1.83K |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 4.57K | $0.251 | $571.18 | -$576.87 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | Yes | 10.01K | $0.099 | $415.6 | -$572.29 |
 SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? | Yes | 142.62 | $0.030 | $0.36 | -$3.92 |
| sell |
| 10.1K |
| $0.997 |
| $10.07K |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 100K | $0.002 | $200 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100K | $0.002 | $200 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.140 | $420 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.200 | $340.13 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 360.94 | $0.050 | $18.05 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.82K | $0.190 | $914.85 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.002 | $200 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.92K | $0.220 | $863.08 | May 25, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 2.71K | $0.986 | $2.68K | May 25, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.6K | $0.260 | $2.24K | May 25, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.6K | $0.280 | $1.29K | May 24, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.76K | $0.260 | $718.19 | May 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 90.62 | $0.250 | $22.66 | May 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 109.13 | $0.250 | $27.28 | May 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.250 | $632.81 | May 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.260 | $668.06 | May 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.270 | $216 | May 22, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.24K | $0.260 | $2.4K | May 22, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.660 | $661.51 | May 15, 2026 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.100 | $205.06 | May 15, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.110 | $1.1K | May 13, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.87K | $0.999 | $10.86K | May 9, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.800 | $240 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 150 | $0.790 | $118.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 333.3 | $0.790 | $263.31 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 60.5 | $0.780 | $47.19 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.770 | $231 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 473.12 | $0.760 | $359.57 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.160 | $185.98 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.32K | $0.160 | $211.62 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 7K | $0.150 | $1.05K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 15.15K | $0.950 | $14.4K | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 1.44K | $0.940 | $1.35K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 31 | $0.939 | $29.11 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 45 | $0.939 | $42.25 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 272.2 | $0.939 | $255.6 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 13.94 | $0.938 | $13.08 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.937 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 74 | $0.939 | $69.49 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 2.52K | $0.939 | $2.37K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 821.58 | $0.936 | $769 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 9.65 | $0.935 | $9.02 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 65 | $0.934 | $60.71 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.7K | $0.190 | $893 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 17.62 | $0.770 | $13.57 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No | buy | 78.16 | $0.760 | $59.4 | Apr 22, 2026 |