Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 274 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2025 to 21 Sep 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28% on 28 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.8 points up, to 22.1% on 24 Jul 2026. $2.61M traded over the market's life.
374 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 274 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 21 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 4.5% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 109.89K |
| elockt | Yes | 7K |
| anoin123 | Yes | 6.32K |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/berlin-state-election-winner
| occasionalAwareness | Yes | 5.58K |
| z0vulon | Yes | 4.85K |
| AngryRhino | Yes | 4.52K |
| GreenMark | Yes | 4.28K |
| ChasingPaper | Yes | 4.11K |
| GarthBroadmore | Yes | 3.49K |
| Railcool | Yes | 3.24K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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