Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 25.67K | $0.935 | $24.76K | +$751.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.08K | $0.930 | $1.94K | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 23.71K |
| $0.910 |
| $22.46K |
| +$892.41 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 20K | $0.930 | $18.7K | +$100.02 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 14.08K | $0.666 | $13.43K | +$4.05K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 10K | $0.900 | $9.84K | +$840 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 10K | $0.920 | $9.45K | +$250 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 10K | $0.600 | $8.55K | +$2.55K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 10K | $0.648 | $8.15K | +$1.67K |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.82K | $0.762 | $7.13K | +$1.17K |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 7K | $0.870 | $6.58K | +$490 |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.930 | $4.83K | +$175.34 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.700 | $4.56K | +$1.06K |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 4K | $0.850 | $3.48K | +$80 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 3.37K | $0.930 | $2.61K | -$522.6 |
 Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1.97K | $0.895 | $1.88K | +$117.76 |
 Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1.81K | $0.897 | $1.7K | +$78.48 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.54K | $0.900 | $1.5K | +$112.3 |
 Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1.32K | $0.870 | $1.29K | +$142.87 |
 Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 1.31K | $0.838 | $1.25K | +$153.15 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.750 | $963.5 | +$213.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 978.08 | $0.900 | $924.29 | +$44.01 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.800 | $915 | +$115 |
 Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes? | No | 1.12K | $0.749 | $913.62 | +$73.58 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 706.04 | $0.900 | $653.09 | +$17.65 |
 Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | 644.21 | $0.790 | $554.02 | +$45.09 |
| buy |
| 775.01 |
| $0.958 |
| $742.46 |
| 2d ago |
 Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 6.79 | $0.100 | $0.68 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 40.15 | $0.900 | $36.14 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.749 | $840.04 | 3d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Over | buy | 10K | $0.950 | $9.5K | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.1K | $0.920 | $3.77K | 4d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 10.17K | $0.930 | $9.46K | 4d ago |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.76K | $0.951 | $6.43K | 4d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 20K | $0.920 | $18.4K | 4d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 20K | $0.850 | $17K | 4d ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 25K | $0.978 | $24.45K | 4d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 13.7K | $0.920 | $12.6K | 4d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 22.3K | $0.850 | $18.96K | 4d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10K | $0.996 | $9.96K | 4d ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | sell | 5.33K | $0.998 | $5.32K | 4d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 15.5K | $0.840 | $13.02K | 7d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 2.91K | $0.930 | $2.7K | 7d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 378.72 | $0.890 | $337.06 | 9d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 5.46K | $0.900 | $4.92K | 9d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 600 | $0.550 | $330 | 13d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 664.58 | $0.988 | $656.61 | 13d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 50K | $0.890 | $44.5K | 13d ago |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.29K | $0.951 | $4.08K | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 7.89K | $0.900 | $7.1K | 14d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20K | $0.972 | $19.44K | 14d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 33.7K | $0.930 | $31.34K | 14d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 848.7 | $0.600 | $509.22 | 14d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5K | $0.660 | $3.3K | 15d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 126.55 | $0.956 | $120.98 | 19d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 5K | $0.740 | $3.7K | 19d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.750 | $3.75K | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5K | $0.730 | $3.65K | 20d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 697.17 | $0.900 | $627.45 | 21d ago |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 5.01K | $0.944 | $4.73K | 21d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 20K | $0.830 | $16.6K | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 8K | $0.650 | $5.2K | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.81K | $0.940 | $5.46K | 21d ago |
 Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.156 | $35.8 | 22d ago |
| Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.48K | $0.027 | $173.04 | 22d ago |
| Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 348.99 | $0.017 | $6.06 | 22d ago |
| Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 380.42 | $0.140 | $53.26 | 22d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 34.1K | $0.990 | $33.76K | 22d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 11.21K | $0.930 | $10.43K | 23d ago |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 565.9 | $0.870 | $492.33 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 609.55 | $0.890 | $542.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 1.46K | $0.940 | $1.38K | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 8.07K | $0.964 | $7.78K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 9.94K | $0.390 | $3.88K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 407.46 | $0.900 | $366.71 | Aug 4, 2026 |