Analytics
Yes is at 8%, down 32 points from 39.5% when the market opened on 7 Mar 2026.
Across the 209 daily closes on record from 7 Mar 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 8% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10%; a month before, 14.5%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 49.5% on 8 Mar 2026.
$15K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $675.82, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 172 trades, $114.91 bought Yes and $5.26K bought No.
The largest Yes position is PGeneral with 947 shares; the largest No position is XieGuangKun with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 93% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 209 points, 7 Mar 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | 39.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| XieGuangKun | No | 1.66K |
| PGeneral | Yes | 946.62 |
| woodlawncap | Yes | 495.76 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $3B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is DefiLlama’s United Stablecoin page, available at: https://defillama.com/stablecoin/united-stables A data point on the DefiLlama "Total circ" chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published. If the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-united-stables-hit-4b-in-2026
| TuKiBTC |
| Yes |
| 334.07 |
| ChasingPaper | No | 300 |
| alanhutton | No | 299.65 |
| Juvenile-Processor | Yes | 95.24 |
| acal | Yes | 93.33 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 80 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 76.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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