Analytics
Yes is at 23.1%, down 49 points from 72.5% when the market opened on 6 Feb 2026.
Across the 240 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95.5% on 10 May 2026 and the lowest 22.7% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31%; a month before, 34.9%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 51.2% on 28 Jun 2026.
$10M is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?”, ahead of $20M at 20%.
$134.6 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $15.29K since listing. The order book holds $533.37, with a 12.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 262 trades, $4.3K bought Yes and $1.28K bought No; the largest was a $1.15K sell of Yes at 88.2¢.
The largest Yes position is Podpow57 with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is LornaPredicts with 397. Ten wallets hold 71.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 240 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 72.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 23.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Podpow57 | Yes | 1.14K |
| LornaPredicts | No | 396.81 |
| alanhutton | No | 258.32 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/magicblock-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| cornishon2 |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| warptrading | Yes | 187.5 |
| BSS37 | No | 133 |
| what111 | No | 130.67 |
| Bright Sphinx 1B73 | No | 128.05 |
| gydmasg | No | 127 |
| alijbee | Yes | 112 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
