Analytics
Yes is at 17%, down 39 points from 55.5% when the market opened on 6 Feb 2026.
Across the 256 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95% on 5 May 2026 and the lowest 15% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23%; a month before, 22%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 62% on 27 Mar 2026.
$60M ranks fourth of the 7 outcomes in “MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. $10M leads at 23.8%; $20M is at 20.5%.
$8.65K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $241.64, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 202 trades, $769.85 bought Yes and $2.14K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Podpow57 with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is predictgeek with 506. Ten wallets hold 89.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 256 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 55.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 17.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Podpow57 | Yes | 1.42K |
| predictgeek | No | 506.34 |
| cryptoatma | No | 378.7 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/magicblock-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| alanhutton |
| No |
| 325 |
| SuperTests | No | 124.12 |
| shiyiyy | No | 100 |
| cornishon2 | Yes | 99.29 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 66.99 |
| AJSV | Yes | 66.33 |
| nastynian | No | 54.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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