Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 7 points from 15.5% when the market opened on 6 Feb 2026.
Across the 232 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 11 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 9.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 30.5% on 29 Apr 2026.
$200M ranks seventh of the 7 outcomes in “MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. $10M leads at 27.1%; $20M is at 20.5%.
$2.71K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $405.78, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 40 trades, $59.76 bought Yes and $1.53K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Podpow57 with 568 shares; the largest No position is Mushy-Gray with 522. Ten wallets hold 95.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 3:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 232 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 15.5% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Podpow57 | Yes | 568.46 |
| Mushy-Gray | No | 522 |
| alanhutton | No | 478.5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/magicblock-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Oklmntrader |
| Yes |
| 251.72 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 100 |
| nastynian | No | 46.46 |
| MaxEnt | Yes | 43.16 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| AJSV | Yes | 37.1 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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