Analytics
Yes is at 18%, down 45 points from 63% when the market opened on 6 Feb 2026.
Across the 235 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91.5% on 6 May 2026 and the lowest 15% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23%; a month before, 21%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 31.5% on 16 Jun 2026.
$40M ranks third of the 7 outcomes in “MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. $10M leads at 23.3%; $20M is at 21.5%.
$14.28 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.39K since listing. The order book holds $307.08, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is mrmo00n with 809 shares; the largest No position is qqqmmmccc with 825. Ten wallets hold 82.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 1:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 235 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 63.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/magicblock-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| alanhutton |
| No |
| 150 |
| zzaqq2 | No | 150 |
| AJSV | No | 129.46 |
| hui.mylyi | Yes | 124 |
| cornishon2 | Yes | 100 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 85 |
| lyoo1210 | No | 69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
