Analytics
Yes is at 14.5%, down 18 points from 32.5% when the market opened on 6 Feb 2026.
Across the 249 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 88% on 6 May 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 24 Feb 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16.5%; a month before, 18.5%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 50% on 27 Mar 2026.
$100M ranks fifth of the 7 outcomes in “MagicBlock FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. $10M leads at 21.9%; $20M is at 20%.
$5.97K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $229.8, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 150 trades, $410.26 bought Yes and $1.49K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Podpow57 with 645 shares; the largest No position is Beyonddream with 500. Ten wallets hold 84.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 249 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 32.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Podpow57 | Yes | 644.65 |
| Beyonddream | No | 500 |
| predictgeek | Yes | 344 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MagicBlock's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/magicblock-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| daweishashax |
| No |
| 299.8 |
| alanhutton | No | 225.39 |
| otsosy.za.kolbasy | No | 197 |
| zzaqq2 | No | 136.68 |
| kuasuo | Yes | 79.2 |
| Arid-Prey | Yes | 66.66 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 60.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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