Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.93K | $0.743 | $3.75K | +$831.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.967 | $1.06K | 7d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.7K |
| $0.526 |
| $2.28K |
| -$193.11 |
 Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? | No | 1.58K | $0.764 | $1.52K | +$307.83 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 4.59K | $0.342 | $1.35K | -$217.01 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 2.12K | $0.728 | $1.14K | -$397.18 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 1.13K | $0.870 | $957.53 | -$28.33 |
 Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? | No | 432 | $0.800 | $390.96 | +$45.36 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 321 | $0.898 | $318.59 | +$30.39 |
 MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? | No | 378.7 | $0.350 | $295.39 | +$162.84 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 378 | $0.110 | $287.28 | +$245.7 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 494.95 | $0.322 | $230.15 | +$70.57 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 3.13K | $0.689 | $227.19 | -$1.93K |
| Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 418 | $0.285 | $215.27 | +$95.94 |
 Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | Yes | 1.81K | $0.082 | $40.62 | -$107.32 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 180 | $0.250 | $33.3 | -$11.7 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 549.7 | $0.576 | $30.23 | -$286.53 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | Yes | 304.5 | $0.209 | $18.27 | -$45.43 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 239.2 | $0.260 | $16.74 | -$45.45 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2.2K | $0.198 | $14.31 | -$422.3 |
 Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 14.91 | $0.839 | $14.26 | +$1.75 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 42 | $0.290 | $11.55 | -$0.63 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 293.07 | $0.115 | $9.23 | -$24.61 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 36 | $0.110 | $5.47 | +$1.51 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.97K | $0.153 | $4.93 | -$296.04 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | Yes | 70.46 | $0.140 | $4.54 | -$5.32 |
| buy |
| 229 |
| $0.290 |
| $66.41 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
| Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?No | buy | 189 | $0.280 | $52.92 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No | sell | 237.47 | $0.880 | $208.97 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 324 | $0.220 | $71.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.210 | $335.08 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No | buy | 387 | $0.270 | $104.49 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 234.99 | $0.329 | $77.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 20.87 | $0.315 | $6.58 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 45.52 | $0.320 | $14.57 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 193.57 | $0.315 | $61.04 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.350 | $87.62 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes | sell | 110.2 | $0.640 | $70.53 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 310 | $0.260 | $80.6 | May 30, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.649 | $233.8 | May 29, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.638 | $63.83 | May 29, 2026 |
| MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch?No | buy | 378.7 | $0.350 | $132.55 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?Yes | sell | 271 | $0.004 | $0.99 | May 21, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 698.7 | $0.207 | $144.94 | May 19, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 308.99 | $0.690 | $213.2 | May 18, 2026 |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 310 | $0.290 | $89.9 | May 14, 2026 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 90.83 | $0.060 | $5.44 | May 14, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.060 | $35.82 | May 14, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.210 | $210 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 135.21 | $0.414 | $55.92 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 477 | $0.412 | $196.65 | May 12, 2026 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 394.03 | $0.470 | $185.19 | May 10, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 79.66 | $0.480 | $38.24 | May 10, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 210 | $0.470 | $98.7 | May 9, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 606 | $0.470 | $284.82 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 262.94 | $0.470 | $123.65 | May 6, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 276 | $0.589 | $162.44 | May 1, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | May 1, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.01 | $0.785 | $14.92 | May 1, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 118.75 | $0.781 | $92.75 | May 1, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 200 | $0.580 | $116 | May 1, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 39.7 | $0.610 | $24.22 | May 1, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 40.31 | $0.617 | $24.86 | May 1, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 244.9 | $0.488 | $119.54 | May 1, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 133.68 | $0.591 | $79.07 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 388 | $0.330 | $128.04 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 309 | $0.070 | $21.63 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | buy | 262.94 | $0.428 | $112.51 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Yes | sell | 570.57 | $0.993 | $566.58 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 288 | $0.273 | $78.64 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.6K | $0.990 | $2.57K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.991 | $79.28 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 263 | $0.255 | $67.19 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | sell | 334.85 | $0.015 | $5.04 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?Yes | sell | 206 | $0.005 | $1.03 | Apr 11, 2026 |