Analytics
Yes is at 18.9%, down 31 points from 50% when the market opened on 17 Dec 2025.
The high was 87.5% on 27 Mar 2026 and the low 12.3% on 2 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 16.6%; a month ago, 20.9%. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 87.5% on 27 Mar 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?”.
$101.76 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.98K since listing. The order book holds $351.96, with a 12.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 249 trades, $2.09K bought Yes and $1.34K bought No; the largest was a $1.16K buy of Yes at 92.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Tigerofthehood with 422 shares; the largest No position is Olcan with 860. Ten wallets hold 86.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 87 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 1:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 266 points · 17 Dec 2025 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 18.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olcan | No | 860.14 |
| Tigerofthehood | Yes | 422.29 |
| ebobc | Yes | 379.71 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027
4 more markets, none above 11.0%.
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 373.51 |
| 2B9S | No | 295.98 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 118.19 |
| VechnoMolodoyy | Yes | 100 |
| BSS37 | No | 100 |
| S888 | No | 86.1 |
| theitaliangoat | No | 55.76 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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