Analytics
Yes is at 36.9%, down 14 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 20 Dec 2025.
Across the 307 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70.3% on 11 Apr 2026 and the lowest 14.9% on 22 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 27.7%; a month before, 30.9%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 39% on 6 Jan 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?”.
$53 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $99.6K since listing. The order book holds $677.94, with a 31.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.58K bought Yes and $2.75K bought No.
The largest Yes position is DirkDiggler67 with 1.8K shares; the largest No position is paddaa with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 65% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 307 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 26.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DirkDiggler67 | Yes | 1.81K |
| paddaa | No | 1.07K |
| notssf3 | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027
4 more markets, none above 10.8%.
| Philwos |
| No |
| 870.91 |
| Olcan | No | 651.8 |
| Shameless-Thread | No | 615.53 |
| Frieren68 | No | 585.25 |
| RoyCooperForVP | Yes | 541.62 |
| 0xdamocles | No | 444.27 |
| supertantrum | No | 296.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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