Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 44.04K | $0.854 | $42.66K | +$5.04K |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 430 | $0.880 | $378.29 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 13K |
| $0.680 |
| $12.54K |
| +$3.7K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 14.92K | $0.820 | $12.46K | +$230.34 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 14.59K | $0.860 | $12.04K | -$510.6 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.5K | $0.880 | $11.81K | +$812.5 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 11.13K | $0.900 | $10.56K | +$545.47 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 7.52K | $0.940 | $7.42K | +$353.49 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 10.21K | $0.624 | $1.99K | -$4.38K |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 430 | $0.880 | $380.55 | +$2.26 |
 Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 444.27 | $0.420 | $269.67 | +$83.08 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 0.68 | $0.709 | $0.65 | +$0.16 |
| buy |
| 3K |
| $0.748 |
| $2.24K |
| 11d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 466.18 | $0.995 | $463.85 | 11d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | 16d ago |
 Columbus Sliders vs Brooklyn Pickleball Team: Team to AdvanceBKLYN | buy | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | 28d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.031 | $37.78 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.020 | $24 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.56K | $0.630 | $2.87K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will New Jersey 5s win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.355 | $35.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.940 | $3.01K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 7.52K | $0.940 | $7.07K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?No | buy | 69 | $0.840 | $57.96 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 8K | $0.954 | $7.63K | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.170 | $178.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.022 | $110 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 4.3K | $0.930 | $4K | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 21.23K | $0.870 | $18.47K | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.95K | $0.680 | $1.33K | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 8.6K | $0.740 | $6.36K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 730 | $0.676 | $493.8 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.749 | $82.37 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.786 | $274.94 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 930.72 | $0.800 | $744.58 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.008 | $79.05 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.340 | $340 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.02K | $0.620 | $2.49K | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 1.5K | $0.880 | $1.32K | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?No | buy | 450 | $0.877 | $394.65 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?No | buy | 1K | $0.876 | $876.37 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Yes | sell | 915.17 | $0.117 | $106.65 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Yes | sell | 458.83 | $0.152 | $69.74 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.519 | $259.5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 995.41 | $0.900 | $895.87 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.841 | $1.68K | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes | sell | 3.51K | $0.048 | $170.11 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No | buy | 5.12K | $0.960 | $4.92K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 754.13 | $0.820 | $618.39 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.371 | $555.95 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.286 | $1.43K | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30?No | buy | 493.11 | $0.930 | $458.59 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.85K | $0.370 | $686.09 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?No | buy | 70K | $0.999 | $69.93K | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 234.25 | $0.915 | $214.34 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 344.44 | $0.925 | $318.61 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.925 | $3.24K | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.762 | $1.14K | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 23K | $0.034 | $782.15 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team finish in 1st place at the Major League Pickleball St Petersburg Event?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.020 | $1.25 | Jun 20, 2026 |