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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 615.53 | $0.487 | $471.49 | +$171.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 740.74 | $0.027 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 400 |
| $0.500 |
| $194 |
| -$6 |
 Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | Yes | 225.28 | $0.444 | $122.78 | +$22.78 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 381.68 | $0.262 | $75 | -$25 |
| Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? | Yes | 500 | $0.187 | $65 | -$28.33 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 138.89 | $0.360 | $39.58 | -$10.42 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.014 | $26.43 | +$6.43 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 740.74 | $0.027 | $25.56 | +$5.56 |
| sell |
| 118.88 |
| $0.400 |
| $47.55 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 108.69 | $0.440 | $47.82 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | sell | 227.6 | $0.169 | $38.46 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 118.89 | $0.421 | $50 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?No | sell | 313.79 | $0.999 | $313.48 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 185.69 | $0.269 | $50 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Yes | buy | 225.28 | $0.444 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?Yes | buy | 213.39 | $0.197 | $42.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?No | buy | 313.8 | $0.653 | $205 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 60.04 | $0.417 | $25.04 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.023 | $50 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 299.04 | $0.418 | $125 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes | sell | 334.85 | $0.791 | $264.75 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 353 | $0.965 | $340.6 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 353 | $0.733 | $258.69 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes | sell | 330 | $0.277 | $91.3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes | buy | 664.85 | $0.301 | $200 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 243.52 | $0.002 | $0.49 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes | buy | 312.64 | $0.320 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.692 | $103.83 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.380 | $56.97 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes | buy | 30.81 | $0.031 | $0.95 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?Yes | buy | 23.91 | $0.019 | $0.45 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 520.6 | $0.576 | $300 | May 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETDown | buy | 42.94 | $0.020 | $0.86 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown | sell | 29.72 | $0.070 | $2.08 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETDown | buy | 28.19 | $0.320 | $9.02 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 545.08 | $0.006 | $3 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 474.21 | $0.008 | $4 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 420.11 | $0.119 | $50 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 227.61 | $0.439 | $100 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?Yes | buy | 188.93 | $0.529 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?No | sell | 523.03 | $0.990 | $517.89 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 381.68 | $0.262 | $100 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.500 | $200 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 615.53 | $0.487 | $300 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?No | buy | 523.04 | $0.382 | $200 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 143.53 | $0.314 | $45 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 307.69 | $0.065 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 432.6 | $0.231 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 2.12K | $0.670 | $1.42K | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?Yes | buy | 445.54 | $0.224 | $100 | Feb 17, 2026 |