Analytics
Yes is at 19%, down 31 points from 50% when the market opened on 17 Dec 2025.
Across the 290 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 15 Jul 2026 and the lowest 9% on 9 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15.5%; a month before, 16%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 50% on 12 Jul 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?”.
$92 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $551.42 since listing. The order book holds $2.86K, with a 16.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 38 trades, $38.64 bought Yes and $207.28 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 206 shares; the largest No position is macrosteaks with 140. Ten wallets hold 93% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 10:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 290 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 21.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 206.2 |
| macrosteaks | No | 139.99 |
| Coral Vector 08BD | No | 80 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027
4 more markets, none above 9.0%.
| Golden Kestrel D399 |
| Yes |
| 32 |
| Raketa09 | No | 29.3 |
| PK123 | No | 10 |
| niglette | Yes | 9 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 8.88 |
| S888 | No | 6.62 |
| gaut6375 | Yes | 6.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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