Analytics
Yes is at 17.5%, down 5 points from 22.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
The high was 84% on 26 Apr 2026 and the low 14% on 10 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 18.5%; a month ago, 23.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 43% on 27 Nov 2025.
It is one of 16 markets under “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?”.
$263.71 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $308.05K since listing. The order book holds $1.53K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.12K bought Yes and $5.32K bought No.
The largest Yes position is cowcat with 7.7K shares; the largest No position is Anon5566 with 8.6K. Ten wallets hold 63.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 82 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 10, 4:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 319 points · 6 Nov 2025 – 10 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 22.5% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Anon5566 | No | 8.64K |
| cowcat | Yes | 7.71K |
| great-cuttle-ketchup | Yes | 4.14K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027
4 more markets, none above 7.5%.
| Jade Voyager 0FA8 |
| No |
| 3.76K |
| starbuck02 | No | 3.73K |
| flagrant2 | Yes | 3.65K |
| cikcikcik | No | 3.24K |
| Pondermint | Yes | 2.52K |
| Zachattack500 | Yes | 2.5K |
| MTD | Yes | 2.19K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
