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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.83K | $0.940 | $15.5K | +$625.25 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 283.23 | $0.420 | $118.96 | 1d ago |
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| No |
| 17.39K |
| $0.691 |
| $11.82K |
| -$197.56 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.880 | $9.67K | +$865.18 |
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10K | $0.900 | $9.56K | +$560 |
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.87K | $0.900 | $5.76K | +$472.72 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 8.13K | $0.819 | $5.27K | -$1.38K |
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.68K | $0.910 | $4.5K | +$243.21 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.26K | $0.900 | $4.15K | +$314.06 |
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.18K | $0.955 | $4.12K | +$127.37 |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 3.83K | $0.700 | $2.7K | +$19.15 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 278.38K | $0.009 | $2.64K | +$62.3 |
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.66K | $0.930 | $2.58K | +$109.15 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 2.2K | $0.841 | $2.13K | +$280.2 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | Yes | 26.97K | $0.057 | $1.79K | +$268.26 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.36K | $0.601 | $1.77K | -$255.08 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3.2K | $0.410 | $1.68K | +$368 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.33K | $0.150 | $1.54K | -$308.29 |
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.190 | $1.45K | -$450 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | Yes | 2.72K | $0.334 | $1.18K | +$273.6 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 154.51K | $0.008 | $1.16K | -$75.82 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.05K | $0.690 | $911.27 | +$184.36 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.731 | $884.99 | +$154 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 2.47K | $0.463 | $878.26 | -$267.45 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | Yes | 5.17K | $0.080 | $671.58 | +$258.3 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 641.09 | $0.720 | $609.04 | +$147.45 |
| buy |
| 508.61 |
| $0.220 |
| $111.89 |
| 1d ago |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.049 | $0.25 | 1d ago |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.94K | $0.004 | $23.77 | 5d ago |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.08K | $0.023 | $116.84 | 5d ago |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33K | $0.150 | $349.74 | 5d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Yes | buy | 5.39K | $0.059 | $317.61 | 5d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 5d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.056 | $87.86 | 5d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Yes | buy | 248.92 | $0.031 | $7.72 | 5d ago |
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?Yes | buy | 901.07 | $0.500 | $450.54 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 205.44 | $0.890 | $182.84 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 932.71 | $0.723 | $674.26 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 746.84 | $0.869 | $649.03 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 584.73 | $0.275 | $160.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 3.77K | $0.100 | $377.27 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 236.09 | $0.700 | $165.15 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.71K | $0.218 | $591.19 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 256.05 | $0.290 | $74.25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 6.19K | $0.080 | $495.45 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | sell | 401.43 | $0.620 | $248.9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.52K | $0.008 | $36.12 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 21.88K | $0.010 | $218.75 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.01K | $0.010 | $80.11 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 23.62K | $0.009 | $212.55 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 601.52 | $0.957 | $575.65 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.007 | $7.18 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | buy | 3.31K | $0.049 | $163.87 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.005 | $0.26 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Japan | buy | 1K | $0.060 | $60 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 288.59 | $0.976 | $281.58 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.72K | $0.978 | $2.66K | Jun 29, 2026 |
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jun 21, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.32 | $0.024 | $0.56 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2K | $0.888 | $1.78K | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 190.4 | $0.005 | $0.95 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?No | buy | 5.91K | $0.999 | $5.9K | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No | buy | 420.2 | $0.910 | $382.38 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 435.77 | $0.989 | $430.89 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No | buy | 161 | $0.892 | $143.58 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 5.22K | $0.849 | $4.43K | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?Yes | buy | 2.9K | $0.028 | $81.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 204.02 | $0.019 | $3.88 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.660 | $1.32K | May 31, 2026 |
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 3K | $0.640 | $1.92K | May 30, 2026 |
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.530 | $2.65K | May 30, 2026 |