Analytics
Yes is at 1.3%, down 38 points from 39.5% when the market opened on 25 Nov 2025.
Across the 298 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (40 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.4%; a month before, 2.8%. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 35% on 28 Nov 2025.
It is one of 22 markets under “What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?”.
$5 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $249.18K since listing. The order book holds $88.1K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.08K bought Yes and $17.84K bought No; the largest was a $5K buy of No at 98.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Shanibro with 29.5K shares; the largest No position is 0x627A0123bE with 22.5K. Ten wallets hold 79.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 298 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 39.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shanibro | Yes | 29.52K |
| 0x627A0123bE | No | 22.53K |
| CejasDeVillano | Yes | 9.38K |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027
9 more markets, none above 2.5%.
| Rapid Kestrel 977F |
| Yes |
| 7.43K |
| venafro7 | No | 6.21K |
| getbipped | No | 6.01K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 5.66K |
| 123erty | Yes | 5.15K |
| Pol40 | No | 5.06K |
| notssf3 | No | 4.68K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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