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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | No | 6.24K | $0.848 | $5.77K | +$481.69 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.06K |
| $0.888 |
| $2.01K |
| +$177.17 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.85K | $0.835 | $1.78K | +$233.01 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 1.69K | $0.817 | $1.64K | +$258.39 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.6K | $0.831 | $1.48K | +$156.35 |
 Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | No | 985.66 | $0.728 | $910.25 | +$192.68 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 988.94 | $0.700 | $885.1 | +$192.52 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | No | 930.31 | $0.844 | $879.14 | +$93.95 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 959.62 | $0.611 | $851.66 | +$265.22 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 805.61 | $0.496 | $745.19 | +$345.2 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 702.85 | $0.931 | $700.39 | +$46.08 |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | No | 737.16 | $0.818 | $671.19 | +$68.16 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 2.84K | $0.317 | $582.43 | -$316.88 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 1.53K | $0.382 | $427.5 | -$155.68 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 7.25K | $0.076 | $398.77 | -$151.96 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 389.92 | $0.881 | $362.04 | +$18.64 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 118.29K | $0.002 | $354.88 | +$60.8 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 381.44 | $0.807 | $329.94 | +$22.01 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 322.24 | $0.865 | $304.51 | +$25.84 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 310.87 | $0.875 | $296.88 | +$24.88 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 905.24 | $0.285 | $267.05 | +$8.93 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 281.69 | $0.733 | $266.2 | +$59.72 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | No | 287.5 | $0.777 | $265.93 | +$42.45 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by September 30? | No | 219.76 | $0.905 | $216.02 | +$17.14 |
 Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | No | 223.57 | $0.902 | $211.38 | +$9.8 |
| sell |
| 10.18K |
| $0.001 |
| $10.18 |
| 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?Yes | sell | 523.1 | $0.001 | $0.52 | 9d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?Yes | sell | 466.75 | $0.002 | $0.93 | 11d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?Yes | sell | 34.13 | $0.002 | $0.07 | 11d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 321.22 | $0.004 | $1.28 | 12d ago |
| Trump out as President by August 31?Yes | sell | 607.67 | $0.002 | $1.22 | 12d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?Yes | sell | 68.09 | $0.013 | $0.89 | 13d ago |
| Trump out as President by August 31?Yes | sell | 16.38 | $0.003 | $0.05 | 17d ago |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | 18d ago |
| Trump out as President by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.003 | $5.35 | 18d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.580 | $7.54 | 19d ago |
 Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 546.35 | $0.003 | $1.64 | 19d ago |
 Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 637.23 | $0.003 | $1.91 | 19d ago |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.020 | $0.1 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 436.95 | $0.011 | $4.81 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 30.01 | $0.011 | $0.33 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 5.06 | $0.011 | $0.06 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 8.48 | $0.011 | $0.09 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.011 | $16.5 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 80.04 | $0.011 | $0.88 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 17.23 | $0.011 | $0.19 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 17.64 | $0.011 | $0.19 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.011 | $0.19 | 23d ago |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 17.64 | $0.011 | $0.19 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 17.54 | $0.011 | $0.19 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 17.53 | $0.011 | $0.19 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.06 | $0.011 | $0.14 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.011 | $0.14 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.03 | $0.011 | $0.14 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.03 | $0.011 | $0.14 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.03 | $0.011 | $0.14 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.03 | $0.011 | $0.14 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.011 | $0.14 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 15.61 | $0.011 | $0.17 | 23d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 217.42 | $0.110 | $23.92 | 24d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 224.71 | $0.110 | $24.72 | 27d ago |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | sell | 68.51 | $0.476 | $32.58 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | sell | 54.51 | $0.519 | $28.29 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Yes | sell | 107.52 | $0.040 | $4.3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 44.32 | $0.580 | $25.71 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.530 | $1.06 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 138.88 | $0.840 | $116.66 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 129.87 | $0.841 | $109.19 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 12.91 | $0.070 | $0.9 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.330 | $2.64 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.040 | $44.54 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.08 | $0.100 | $2.81 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 1.47K | $0.016 | $23.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |