Analytics
Yes is at 3.4%, down 8.6 points from 12% when the market opened on 22 May 2026.
Across the 157 daily closes on record from 22 May 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26% on 15 Jul 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 26% on 15 Jul 2026.
$32.07K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $41.05K, with a 2.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 349 trades, $1.68K bought Yes and $5.15K bought No.
The largest Yes position is RalphTheKing with 4.6K shares; the largest No position is Rapid Kestrel 977F with 6.6K. Ten wallets hold 76.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 157 points, 22 May 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 12.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Kestrel 977F | No | 6.63K |
| RalphTheKing | Yes | 4.56K |
| Gigre89 | Yes | 1.57K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/meloni-out-as-prime-minister-of-italy-by-june-30
| ciprovo |
| Yes |
| 1.18K |
| Plastic-Enterprise | No | 1.04K |
| JanusApprentice | No | 1K |
| CodeGoma | No | 932.22 |
| Sardinianshepherd | Yes | 890.43 |
| alimehmeti01 | Yes | 882.72 |
| stardustdream | No | 784.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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