Analytics
Yes is at 2.2%, down 43 points from 45.5% when the market opened on 13 Dec 2025.
Across the 314 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 13 Dec 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 11 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.3%; a month before, 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 29.5% on 14 Dec 2025.
$7.15K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.92K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 219 trades, $382.48 bought Yes and $1.66K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Wagmi420 with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is Rapid Kestrel 977F with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 80.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 9:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 314 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 45.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 2.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Kestrel 977F | No | 1.42K |
| Wagmi420 | Yes | 999.88 |
| MEPP | No | 383.16 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/apple-vision-pro-2-released-before-2027
| lenny4878 |
| No |
| 216.37 |
| Negative-Wiring | Yes | 182.25 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 128.57 |
| Doting-Email | Yes | 124.99 |
| ololoshka.d | Yes | 114.26 |
| BSS37 | Yes | 101.61 |
| akunai | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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