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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 83.35K | $0.826 | $79.48K | +$10.65K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 508.79 | $0.360 | $183.16 | 40m ago |
 |
| No |
| 76.44K |
| $0.826 |
| $71.47K |
| +$8.31K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 50.75K | $0.772 | $43.24K | +$4.04K |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 24.27K | $0.952 | $23.41K | +$311 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 24.05K | $0.810 | $22.93K | +$3.45K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 21.11K | $0.859 | $17.83K | -$294.24 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.27K | $0.875 | $16.15K | +$1.04K |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 16.44K | $0.904 | $16.06K | +$1.19K |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 18.34K | $0.843 | $15.66K | +$194.71 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 14.17K | $0.733 | $12.92K | +$2.53K |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 11.25K | $0.813 | $10.5K | +$1.35K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 17.08K | $0.679 | $9.82K | -$1.77K |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 8.65K | $0.754 | $8.17K | +$1.65K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 9.22K | $0.610 | $7.89K | +$2.26K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20K | $0.510 | $7.3K | -$2.9K |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.67K | $0.797 | $7.25K | +$1.13K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 10K | $0.660 | $6.8K | +$200 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | No | 6.85K | $0.930 | $6.7K | +$325.42 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.14K | $0.570 | $6.64K | +$864.26 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 6.96K | $0.863 | $6.44K | +$435.09 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.33K | $0.854 | $6.34K | +$83.27 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 6.48K | $0.868 | $6.19K | +$563.3 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 8.12K | $0.646 | $6.13K | +$887.38 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 6.5K | $0.800 | $6.11K | +$910 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 6.4K | $0.628 | $5.92K | +$1.9K |
| buy |
| 1.11K |
| $0.840 |
| $929.12 |
| 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 1.95K | $0.420 | $817.79 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 120.79 | $0.420 | $50.73 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.610 | $692.4 | 14h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.670 | $3.35K | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 194.72 | $0.620 | $120.73 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.620 | $930 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.650 | $3.25K | 20h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 220 | $0.170 | $37.4 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.410 | $789.82 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 442.72 | $0.350 | $154.95 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes | sell | 721.28 | $0.641 | $462.02 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.2K | $0.480 | $1.54K | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 7.51K | $0.760 | $5.71K | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 4.61K | $0.527 | $2.43K | 1d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 209.11 | $0.250 | $52.28 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 443.09 | $0.250 | $110.77 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | sell | 267.85 | $0.090 | $24.11 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 119.83 | $0.152 | $18.17 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.320 | $8.96 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?No | sell | 120 | $0.848 | $101.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.500 | $55 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 389.47 | $0.880 | $342.73 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.358 | $610.34 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.951 | $2.85K | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.400 | $400 | 2d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.887 | $1.55K | 2d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 766.62 | $0.744 | $570.72 | 2d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?No | buy | 257 | $0.626 | $160.84 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 378.8 | $0.366 | $138.47 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 98.05 | $0.403 | $39.52 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 52.01 | $0.430 | $22.36 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 184.32 | $0.620 | $114.28 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 537.3 | $0.640 | $343.87 | 2d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 6K | $0.840 | $5.04K | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.330 | $0.17 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 836.91 | $0.670 | $560.73 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 738.37 | $0.330 | $243.66 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 58.11 | $0.340 | $19.76 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 2.47K | $0.959 | $2.37K | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Yes | buy | 235.2 | $0.910 | $214.03 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 891.11 | $0.596 | $531.21 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.529 | $647.35 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.959 | $4.8K | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.960 | $5.76K | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.650 | $3.25K | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.130 | $153.53 | 3d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 259.99 | $0.740 | $192.39 | 3d ago |