Analytics
Yes is at 4.7%, down 52 points from 56.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
The high was 56.5% on 6 Nov 2025 and the low 4.4% on 6 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 6.5%; a month ago, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 40.5% on 7 Nov 2025.
$7.69 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $448.05K since listing. The order book holds $49.58K, with a 2.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.12K bought Yes and $18.05K bought No; the largest was a $5.62K buy of No at 87.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Cinibengales with 51K shares; the largest No position is devin.lawson.77 with 74.2K. Ten wallets hold 69.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 86 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 1:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 316 points · 6 Nov 2025 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 56.5% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 4.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| devin.lawson.77 | No | 74.17K |
| Cinibengales | Yes | 51.04K |
| wan123 | Yes | 9.4K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-and-saudi-arabia-normalize-relations-before-2027
| skibabiba |
| No |
| 9.32K |
| AlansWorld182 | No | 9K |
| Portly-Kill | Yes | 8.99K |
| aaIrbet | Yes | 8.21K |
| MEPP | No | 6.96K |
| inventive | No | 5K |
| denizz | No | 4.99K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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