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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 7K | $0.775 | $6.37K | +$947.72 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.19K | $0.650 | $1.42K | May 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6K |
| $0.830 |
| $5.77K |
| +$789 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 5K | $0.863 | $4.85K | +$530.8 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 5K | $0.893 | $4.8K | +$338.03 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 5K | $0.850 | $4.7K | +$449.82 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 5K | $0.770 | $4.68K | +$825 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.770 | $4.58K | +$725 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 8.3K | $0.291 | $3.53K | +$1.11K |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 3.58K | $0.870 | $3.51K | +$402.34 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 4.64K | $0.665 | $3.18K | +$91.57 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.913 | $2.9K | +$160.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 5K | $0.520 | $2.37K | -$225 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 9.44K | $0.735 | $2.26K | -$4.67K |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3K | $0.850 | $1.28K | -$1.27K |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 7K | $0.866 | $1.2K | -$4.87K |
 Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.800 | $963.5 | +$163.5 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.912 | $961.5 | +$49.5 |
 Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.790 | $890 | +$100 |
 Will BP be acquired before 2027? | No | 443.39 | $0.770 | $430.31 | +$88.9 |
 Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 1.27K | $0.136 | $380.34 | +$207.91 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 999.95 | $0.295 | $264.99 | -$30 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 1K | $0.150 | $115 | -$35 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | No | 85.56 | $0.902 | $82.95 | +$5.78 |
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.520 | $0.63 | +$0.11 |
| buy |
| 299.76 |
| $0.770 |
| $230.82 |
| Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 58 | $0.348 | $20.18 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 34.01 | $0.670 | $22.79 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 641.68 | $0.250 | $160.42 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 115.22 | $0.360 | $41.48 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 3.42K | $0.770 | $2.64K | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.420 | $1.47K | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 504 | $0.410 | $206.64 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.397 | $618.29 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 444 | $0.330 | $146.52 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 548.65 | $0.500 | $274.33 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.788 | $1.58K | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No | buy | 36 | $0.770 | $27.72 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.770 | $3.85K | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No | buy | 3.05K | $0.700 | $2.13K | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.644 | $797.18 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.850 | $2.55K | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | buy | 830.17 | $0.579 | $480.74 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 842.58 | $0.720 | $606.66 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?No | buy | 991.98 | $0.644 | $638.83 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 312.42 | $0.230 | $71.86 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 2.55K | $0.670 | $1.71K | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.660 | $982.05 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.930 | $2.79K | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?No | buy | 264.3 | $0.590 | $155.94 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 500 | $0.300 | $150 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 1.91K | $0.876 | $1.68K | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will BP be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 55.48 | $0.770 | $42.72 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.140 | $142.06 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.350 | $358.4 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 48.96 | $0.340 | $16.65 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.330 | $3.99 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 682.74 | $0.730 | $498.4 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?No | buy | 583.31 | $0.596 | $347.64 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?No | buy | 1.78K | $0.591 | $1.05K | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?No | buy | 205.23 | $0.579 | $118.83 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 253.09 | $0.120 | $30.37 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 41 | $0.803 | $32.92 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 1.03K | $0.591 | $607.85 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | buy | 26.1 | $0.740 | $19.31 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No | buy | 521.93 | $0.640 | $334.04 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.280 | $18.2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 567.51 | $0.270 | $153.23 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 104.08 | $0.850 | $88.45 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | buy | 239.58 | $0.495 | $118.61 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.520 | $1.06K | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Yes | buy | 491.23 | $0.340 | $167.02 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 595.35 | $0.760 | $452.47 | Mar 24, 2026 |