Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 30K | $0.660 | $21.45K | +$1.65K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 6K | $0.850 | $5.1K | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 15.62K |
| $0.830 |
| $13.67K |
| +$702.92 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 15K | $0.736 | $12.97K | +$1.94K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 13.3K | $0.759 | $11.37K | +$1.27K |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 9.6K | $0.775 | $9.17K | +$1.73K |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 9.1K | $0.838 | $9.02K | +$1.4K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 9.4K | $0.796 | $8.13K | +$645.02 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 9K | $0.797 | $7.48K | +$310.53 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 7K | $0.770 | $6.27K | +$875 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 8.5K | $0.590 | $6.25K | +$1.23K |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 6.71K | $0.895 | $6.14K | +$135.38 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 5.8K | $0.860 | $5.67K | +$678.6 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5.8K | $0.870 | $5.58K | +$536.5 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 6K | $0.890 | $5.49K | +$150 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5.5K | $0.910 | $5.41K | +$404.25 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 5.7K | $0.882 | $5.4K | +$373.38 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 8K | $0.650 | $5.36K | +$160.02 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 6K | $0.850 | $5.04K | -$60 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 8.5K | $0.610 | $3.95K | -$1.23K |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 4.32K | $0.830 | $3.83K | +$237.88 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.2K | $0.840 | $3.68K | +$147.01 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 3.85K | $0.780 | $3.56K | +$558.25 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 4.4K | $0.710 | $3.54K | +$418 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.8K | $0.700 | $3.44K | +$779 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 3.8K | $0.820 | $3.25K | +$133 |
| buy |
| 2.01K |
| $0.840 |
| $1.69K |
| 23d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 3.59K | $0.890 | $3.19K | 23d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 51.87 | $0.820 | $42.53 | 23d ago |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.29K | $0.830 | $3.56K | 23d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.872 | $920.45 | 23d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?No | buy | 577 | $0.630 | $363.51 | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.5K | $0.610 | $5.19K | 29d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.77K | $0.930 | $1.64K | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 714.8 | $0.730 | $521.8 | 29d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 45.9 | $0.597 | $27.4 | 29d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 2.4K | $0.810 | $1.94K | 29d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 10.33K | $0.965 | $9.96K | 29d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 3.95K | $0.770 | $3.04K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 4.09K | $0.650 | $2.66K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.850 | $1.07K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.870 | $2.61K | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | buy | 205 | $0.920 | $188.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.700 | $1.69K | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.850 | $5.1K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 1.91K | $0.750 | $1.43K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 3.18K | $0.800 | $2.54K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.24 | $0.620 | $7.59 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 184.6 | $0.870 | $160.6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.8K | $0.920 | $2.58K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 911 | $0.947 | $862.72 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 744.27 | $0.550 | $409.35 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 117.84 | $0.900 | $106.06 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 405.67 | $0.860 | $348.88 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 2.66K | $0.780 | $2.08K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 24?No | buy | 335.19 | $0.930 | $311.73 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 2.09K | $0.750 | $1.57K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No | buy | 139.94 | $0.710 | $99.36 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 25.76 | $0.767 | $19.77 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 5.66K | $0.011 | $62.21 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 373.51 | $0.200 | $74.7 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 718.36 | $0.390 | $280.16 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 539.07 | $0.660 | $355.79 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 21.49 | $0.760 | $16.33 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | buy | 199.36 | $0.910 | $181.42 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 850 | $0.868 | $737.8 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 4.85K | $0.790 | $3.83K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 13.48K | $0.890 | $12K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.5K | $0.890 | $10.24K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.8K | $0.700 | $2.66K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.720 | $4.23 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 61.96 | $0.830 | $51.43 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 37.99 | $0.880 | $33.43 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 53.39 | $0.824 | $43.98 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.860 | $2.58K | Jul 8, 2026 |