Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 592.67 | $0.436 | $311.15 | +$52.84 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | buy | 42.02 | $0.180 | $7.56 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 305.01 |
| $0.600 |
| $218.08 |
| +$35.07 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | Yes | 276.24 | $0.460 | $204.42 | +$77.35 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 588.21 | $0.170 | $173.52 | +$73.53 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 302.82 | $0.438 | $149.9 | +$17.41 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 470.24 | $0.315 | $148.13 | -$0.09 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | Yes | 331.19 | $0.330 | $124.19 | +$14.9 |
 Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? | Yes | 339.61 | $0.102 | $119.37 | +$84.78 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 153.96 | $0.580 | $110.08 | +$20.78 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | No | 294.57 | $0.377 | $104.57 | -$6.59 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? | No | 779.64 | $0.120 | $101.35 | +$7.92 |
 StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 622.94 | $0.096 | $96.56 | +$36.48 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 200.51 | $0.437 | $96.24 | +$8.7 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.26K | $0.090 | $94.74 | -$18.95 |
 Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | Yes | 298.59 | $0.300 | $91.07 | +$1.39 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 183.64 | $0.222 | $84.47 | +$43.77 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 263.57 | $0.314 | $71.16 | -$11.5 |
 Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election? | No | 241.44 | $0.497 | $68.81 | -$51.16 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 547.44 | $0.060 | $68.43 | +$35.58 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 328.91 | $0.190 | $65.78 | +$3.29 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 563.44 | $0.177 | $64.8 | -$34.99 |
 Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? | No | 89.25 | $0.360 | $64.71 | +$32.58 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? | Yes | 214.83 | $0.211 | $63.37 | +$18.06 |
 Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | Yes | 231.96 | $0.164 | $61.47 | +$23.54 |
 Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 361.87 | $0.310 | $59.71 | -$52.47 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.380 |
| $7.6 |
| 5d ago |
| Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Yes | buy | 16.3 | $0.210 | $3.42 | 5d ago |
 Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?No | buy | 5.54 | $0.250 | $1.39 | 5d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.620 | $18.6 | 6d ago |
 Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | 6d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Yes | buy | 6.54 | $0.290 | $1.9 | 6d ago |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | 7d ago |
 Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?No | buy | 74 | $0.190 | $14.06 | 7d ago |
 Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | 7d ago |
 Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.480 | $9.65 | 7d ago |
 Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | 8d ago |
 Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | sell | 53.38 | $0.390 | $20.82 | 8d ago |
 Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.590 | $1.77 | 8d ago |
 Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | 8d ago |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?No | buy | 37.03 | $0.540 | $20 | 8d ago |
 Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?No | buy | 8.81 | $0.500 | $4.41 | 8d ago |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?No | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | 8d ago |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or MP?MP | buy | 1.53 | $0.390 | $0.6 | 8d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15 | $0.170 | $2.55 | 14d ago |
 Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | 14d ago |
 Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Yes | buy | 12.62 | $0.340 | $4.29 | 14d ago |
| Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.07 | $0.190 | $0.96 | 14d ago |
 Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.200 | $8 | 14d ago |
| Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 24.59 | $0.190 | $4.67 | 14d ago |
 Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.66 | $0.250 | $6.67 | 15d ago |
 Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | 15d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | buy | 50.86 | $0.300 | $15.26 | 15d ago |
 Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?Yes | buy | 18.23 | $0.150 | $2.73 | 16d ago |
 Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?No | buy | 51.36 | $0.110 | $5.65 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.350 | $2.1 | 16d ago |
 Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.170 | $2.55 | 16d ago |
| Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.160 | $11.2 | 16d ago |
 Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | 16d ago |
 Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.480 | $7.2 | 17d ago |
 Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | 17d ago |
 Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.070 | $4.2 | 17d ago |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?No | buy | 4.91 | $0.120 | $0.59 | 17d ago |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | 17d ago |
 Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes | buy | 73.02 | $0.200 | $14.6 | 17d ago |
 Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit | buy | 60 | $0.420 | $25.2 | 17d ago |
 Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?Yes | sell | 16.64 | $0.430 | $7.16 | 17d ago |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTEAM VISION | buy | 500 | $0.140 | $70 | 17d ago |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTEAM VISION | buy | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | 17d ago |
 Will Christian Agúndez Gómez win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?Yes | buy | 41.42 | $0.070 | $2.9 | 17d ago |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?No | buy | 40 | $0.360 | $14.4 | 17d ago |
| Will there be 6 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | 18d ago |