Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 2.8 points from 2.9% when the market opened on 19 Feb 2026.
Across the 228 daily closes on record from 19 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 2.9% on 19 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.3%.
It is one of 30 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?”.
$12.4K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.08M since listing. The order book holds $384.71K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $491.19 bought Yes and $146.95K bought No; the largest was a $28.04K sell of No at 99.6¢.
The largest Yes position is Rapid Kestrel 977F with 165.9K shares; the largest No position is 033033033 with 120K. Ten wallets hold 72.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 228 points, 19 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Feb 2026 | 2.9% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Kestrel 977F | Yes | 165.9K |
| 033033033 | No | 120K |
| Heyheyhey777 | No | 52.36K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027
17 more markets, none above 3.2%.
| Shirohige77 |
| No |
| 39.15K |
| boyau | Yes | 31.24K |
| meifreefly | Yes | 29.37K |
| justdance | Yes | 23.53K |
| Anne666 | Yes | 23.45K |
| iliabouchouev | No | 19.63K |
| Zeus7777 | No | 15.77K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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