Analytics
Yes is at 20.5%, down 59 points from 79% when the market opened on 7 Aug 2026.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81.5% on 17 Aug 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 6 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15.5%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 34% on 20 Aug 2026.
It is one of 21 markets under “What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?”.
$16.14K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $802.87K since listing. The order book holds $69.05K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $20.21K bought Yes and $26.34K bought No; the largest was a $6.03K buy of No at 91.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Tokor with 155.2K shares; the largest No position is JnStrtPrdctnMrkts with 409.8K. Ten wallets hold 89.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 7 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 79.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | No | 409.78K |
| Tokor | Yes | 155.24K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 102.2K |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027
9 more markets, none above 1.9%.
| 0xDCCrane | No | 44.2K |
| Sxc123.sxc | Yes | 31.31K |
| getbipped | Yes | 24.01K |
| tsihkodiives | Yes | 19.21K |
| superbay2222 | Yes | 18.67K |
| Albert 1953 | Yes | 11.77K |
| Pointless-Pulley | Yes | 11.12K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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