Analytics
Yes is at 92%, up 42 points from 50% when the market opened on 8 Sep 2026.
The high was 92.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the low 41.5% on 19 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 76%; a month ago, 64.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 81.5% on 10 Sep 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$1.44K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $35.26K since listing. The order book holds $32.29K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 66 trades, $21.08K bought Yes and $455.19 bought No; the largest was a $5K buy of Yes at 91.0¢.
The largest Yes position is notssf3 with 5.9K shares; the largest No position is BowTrix with 11.6K. Ten wallets hold 87.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 17, 2:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 8 Sep 2026 – 17 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 92.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BowTrix | No | 11.64K |
| notssf3 | Yes | 5.94K |
| sichuanhotpot | Yes | 5.52K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/papertrade-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| ASteroide |
| Yes |
| 5.49K |
| gothmommy69 | No | 4K |
| mommydualipa | No | 4K |
| alanhutton | Yes | 3K |
| gatonekki | Yes | 2.16K |
| mainantagonist | No | 2K |
| altaironmission | No | 1.4K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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