Analytics
Yes is at 42%, down 8 points from 50% when the market opened on 8 Sep 2026.
The high was 82% on 27 Sep 2026 and the low 29% on 18 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 72%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 29% on 18 Sep 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$10 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $560.05 since listing. The order book holds $67.61, with a 64.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is jo-shmo with 435 shares; the largest No position is 2B9S with 300.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 6:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 8 Sep 2026 – 8 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 42.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jo-shmo | Yes | 434.6 |
| 2B9S | No | 300 |
| alanhutton | No | 49.98 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/papertrade-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| AJSV |
| No |
| 29.22 |
| Unfortunate-Particle | No | 25 |
| cit500 | No | 15 |
| deuldeuldeul | No | 10.39 |
| paghool | No | 5 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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