Analytics
Yes is at 30%, down 20 points from 50% when the market opened on 8 Sep 2026.
The high was 50% on 8 Sep 2026 and the low 10.5% on 18 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 39.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 37.5% on 19 Sep 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$973.92 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $280.82, with a 30.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 20 trades, $248.36 bought Yes and $496.36 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Unfortunate-Particle with 73 shares; the largest No position is alanhutton with 110.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 7, 3:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 8 Sep 2026 – 7 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | 30.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alanhutton | No | 110 |
| Unfortunate-Particle | Yes | 73.16 |
| G24L8 | No | 64.52 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/papertrade-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 46.26 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 43.74 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | Yes | 5.04 |
| Scoopdewhoop | Yes | 5 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 1.32 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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