Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.6K | $0.679 | $3.11K | +$669.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?No | sell | 102 | $0.840 | $85.68 | 4h ago |
|
| No |
| 2.34K |
| $0.806 |
| $1.98K |
| +$91.29 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | No | 1.75K | $0.861 | $1.65K | +$138.15 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 1.59K | $0.775 | $1.31K | +$78.85 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 1.32K | $0.929 | $1.27K | +$42.84 |
 Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | 1.23K | $0.904 | $1.17K | +$52.28 |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? | No | 1.27K | $0.742 | $1.08K | +$136.92 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 1.01K | $0.872 | $914.77 | +$30.99 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31? | No | 987.01 | $0.805 | $888.31 | +$93.52 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 1.62K | $0.582 | $884.33 | -$59.3 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 946.07 | $0.727 | $865.65 | +$178.18 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 1.99K | $0.382 | $814.22 | +$55.87 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | No | 1.26K | $0.536 | $801.99 | +$124.56 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 944.48 | $0.774 | $765.03 | +$33.6 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 1.07K | $0.651 | $756.12 | +$57.75 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026? | No | 771.88 | $0.849 | $717.85 | +$62.27 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 800.02 | $0.489 | $700.02 | +$308.81 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | No | 766.66 | $0.763 | $659.33 | +$74.44 |
 Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? | No | 994.56 | $0.608 | $651.44 | +$46.84 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | No | 731.65 | $0.811 | $618.24 | +$24.64 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31? | No | 656.13 | $0.736 | $597.08 | +$114.48 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 757.21 | $0.693 | $571.69 | +$46.97 |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 595.61 | $0.869 | $547.97 | +$30.31 |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 573.67 | $0.889 | $527.78 | +$17.89 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | No | 543.06 | $0.901 | $505.05 | +$15.43 |
| buy |
| 431.57 |
| $0.783 |
| $337.99 |
| 4h ago |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.611 | $12.22 | 4h ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | sell | 17 | $0.730 | $12.41 | 4h ago |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.671 | $30.2 | 4h ago |
 Will "Google" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | buy | 52 | $0.099 | $5.15 | 4h ago |
| Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | buy | 60 | $0.130 | $7.8 | 4h ago |
| Will "Mark Zuckerberg" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 196.8 | $0.262 | $51.47 | 4h ago |
| Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | buy | 171.77 | $0.160 | $27.48 | 4h ago |
| Will "IPO" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.775 | $31 | 4h ago |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 195.3 | $0.810 | $158.19 | 4h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.780 | $31.2 | 4h ago |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 142.43 | $0.586 | $83.5 | 5h ago |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.601 | $3.01 | 5h ago |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.696 | $69.63 | 5h ago |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 479 | $0.541 | $259.07 | 5h ago |
 Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.290 | $3.77 | 5h ago |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 48 | $0.290 | $13.92 | 5h ago |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | 5h ago |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 148.33 | $0.302 | $44.8 | 5h ago |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.370 | $74 | 5h ago |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.245 | $333.34 | 5h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 600.12 | $0.789 | $473.69 | 5h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | sell | 385.69 | $0.641 | $247.13 | 6h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 105 | $0.780 | $81.9 | 6h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | 6h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | 6h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.810 | $12.15 | 6h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | 6h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.830 | $49.8 | 6h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | 6h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 95.6 | $0.828 | $79.2 | 6h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.840 | $19.32 | 6h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 84 | $0.840 | $70.56 | 6h ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.725 | $911.56 | 6h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 40 | $0.440 | $17.6 | 6h ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 63.08 | $0.833 | $52.54 | 7h ago |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 211.61 | $0.625 | $132.17 | 7h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | sell | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | 7h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | sell | 30 | $0.530 | $15.9 | 7h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 40 | $0.480 | $19.2 | 7h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 30 | $0.430 | $12.9 | 7h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 15 | $0.410 | $6.15 | 7h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | sell | 460.99 | $0.548 | $252.64 | 7h ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 122.12 | $0.627 | $76.6 | 7h ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 133.04 | $0.864 | $114.95 | 7h ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 170.6 | $0.841 | $143.45 | 7h ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | 13h ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 263.68 | $0.768 | $202.43 | 13h ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | 13h ago |